Yes
Implied probability 0%−7
24-hour volume$191
Total volume$62k
Liquidity$62k
Resolves1 Jan 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 0% |
| 25 Sept, 22:02 UTC | 0% |
| 25 Sept, 01:20 UTC | 8% |
| 24 Sept, 12:49 UTC | 7% |
| 23 Sept, 12:28 UTC | 1% |
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if the top corporate federal tax rate drops below 21% before January 1, 2027. Otherwise, the outcome is No. Readers often mistake the linked news story about tax breaks for the actual reduction of the statutory tax rate.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 0%
- No 100%