NewsMarkets

Sports

Brazilian footballers warn against Bolsonaro return after election

Players including Carlinha urge fans to reject far-right politics, fearing harm to women's football following Brazil's recent election results.

1 publisher · 1 article · first seen 20 Oct 2026 · updated 2d ago

Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked article; not reviewed by a person. How this was made

This story has stopped developing; this page is its permanent record. More from that day

The odds

How the odds moved · Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Pará?
0%50%100%14%11 Oct, 12:42 UTCnowThe Guardian Sport: How Brazil’s election result could shape women’s football in the country · 20 Oct, 12:28 UTC

Each tick is a source publishing on this story

Price data
TimeChance of yes
now14%
22 Oct, 04:05 UTC14%
21 Oct, 21:41 UTC13%
21 Oct, 19:10 UTC13%
21 Oct, 18:34 UTC10%
21 Oct, 18:05 UTC10%
21 Oct, 17:12 UTC12%
21 Oct, 10:17 UTC16%
21 Oct, 09:12 UTC17%
21 Oct, 08:58 UTC18%
21 Oct, 06:37 UTC18%
21 Oct, 04:59 UTC22%
21 Oct, 02:27 UTC16%
21 Oct, 01:24 UTC16%
20 Oct, 22:31 UTC16%
20 Oct, 22:17 UTC13%
20 Oct, 21:49 UTC13%
20 Oct, 19:48 UTC14%
20 Oct, 17:24 UTC14%
20 Oct, 16:27 UTC14%
20 Oct, 13:37 UTC20%
13 Oct, 00:54 UTC20%
12 Oct, 23:08 UTC18%
12 Oct, 22:40 UTC19%
12 Oct, 16:45 UTC17%
12 Oct, 14:48 UTC21%
12 Oct, 13:36 UTC21%
12 Oct, 13:09 UTC20%
12 Oct, 12:49 UTC20%
11 Oct, 12:42 UTC9%

The story so far

1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 20 Oct 2026. The Guardian Sport published first, on 20 October at 12:28 UTC.

One prediction market prices this story:

  • Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Pará? — the market puts it at 14%, with $11k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 26 Oct 2026. The Yes outcome occurs if Flavio Bolsonaro receives the highest number of valid votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election in Pará. The No outcome applies if any other candidate receives more valid votes than him. Readers often mistake the deadline for knowing the result (June 30, 2027) for the date the votes are cast (October 25, 2026).

Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.

Sources

Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.

  1. How Brazil’s election result could shape women’s football in the country The Guardian Sport ·

Related prediction markets

Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right

  • Polymarket Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Pará? 14% −1 $11k 24hends 26 Oct 2026

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

Have your say

Your call. How does this end?

Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls

Email me when the odds move

We email a link to confirm first. At most one alert email every six hours; unsubscribe in one click. Privacy

In this story

  • Carlinha
  • Tayla Carolina
  • Bolsonaro
  • São Paulo
  • Corinthians
Embed this story

Paste this into any web page to show the live odds, with a link back here.