Brazil’s Left Loses Voters in Small Towns to Right-Wing Shift
Small towns with large agricultural sectors and evangelical movements are swinging right, causing the left to lose ground.
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The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 2% |
| 25 Oct, 08:39 UTC | 2% |
| 25 Oct, 08:07 UTC | 3% |
| 24 Oct, 21:58 UTC | 3% |
| 24 Oct, 21:05 UTC | 4% |
| 24 Oct, 20:58 UTC | 4% |
| 24 Oct, 20:05 UTC | 5% |
| 24 Oct, 19:30 UTC | 6% |
| 24 Oct, 19:09 UTC | 6% |
| 24 Oct, 18:36 UTC | 6% |
| 24 Oct, 18:22 UTC | 6% |
| 24 Oct, 17:54 UTC | 6% |
| 24 Oct, 17:01 UTC | 6% |
| 24 Oct, 16:40 UTC | 6% |
| 24 Oct, 16:15 UTC | 7% |
| 24 Oct, 15:27 UTC | 7% |
| 24 Oct, 14:27 UTC | 7% |
| 24 Oct, 08:02 UTC | 7% |
| 24 Oct, 07:27 UTC | 6% |
| 24 Oct, 06:58 UTC | 7% |
| 24 Oct, 04:03 UTC | 6% |
| 24 Oct, 03:30 UTC | 6% |
| 24 Oct, 01:06 UTC | 7% |
| 24 Oct, 00:59 UTC | 7% |
| 24 Oct, 00:27 UTC | 7% |
| 23 Oct, 23:50 UTC | 7% |
| 23 Oct, 22:49 UTC | 7% |
| 23 Oct, 21:48 UTC | 7% |
| 23 Oct, 20:49 UTC | 7% |
| 23 Oct, 20:28 UTC | 7% |
| 23 Oct, 19:34 UTC | 7% |
| 23 Oct, 19:12 UTC | 7% |
| 23 Oct, 18:56 UTC | 7% |
| 23 Oct, 18:14 UTC | 7% |
| 23 Oct, 17:53 UTC | 7% |
| 23 Oct, 17:24 UTC | 7% |
| 23 Oct, 16:50 UTC | 7% |
| 23 Oct, 16:29 UTC | 7% |
| 23 Oct, 15:49 UTC | 7% |
| 23 Oct, 15:13 UTC | 7% |
| 23 Oct, 14:51 UTC | 7% |
| 23 Oct, 14:24 UTC | 7% |
| 23 Oct, 13:37 UTC | 7% |
| 23 Oct, 13:04 UTC | 7% |
| 23 Oct, 12:57 UTC | 7% |
| 23 Oct, 12:22 UTC | 7% |
| 23 Oct, 11:48 UTC | 7% |
| 23 Oct, 11:13 UTC | 7% |
| 23 Oct, 10:39 UTC | 7% |
| 23 Oct, 10:24 UTC | 7% |
| 23 Oct, 09:55 UTC | 7% |
| 22 Oct, 09:55 UTC | 6% |
The story so far
1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 23 Oct 2026. The New York Times published first, on 23 October at 09:04 UTC.
One prediction market prices this story:
- Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Minas Gerais? — the market puts it at 2%, with $1k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 26 Oct 2026. The market resolves to Yes if Lula receives more valid votes than any other candidate in the second round of the Brazilian presidential election held in Minas Gerais on October 25, 2026. If no candidate wins definitively by June 30, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to Other.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Related prediction markets
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- Polymarket Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Minas Gerais? 2% −5
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In this story
- Brazil
- Nanuque