Big Banks Report Mixed Third-Quarter Earnings as Trading Revenues Vary Hot: Odds moved 88 points in 24 hours

The story so far

3 publishers have covered this in 11 articles since 12 Oct 2026. Bloomberg Markets published first, on 12 October at 15:20 UTC; Quartz followed 20h 41m later. The most recent article, from Quartz, appeared on 13 October at 13:00 UTC.

Outlets reporting it: Bloomberg Markets (major outlet), The New York Times (major outlet), Quartz.

3 prediction markets price this story:

• Trading — the market puts it at 6%, with $1k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 31 Mar 2027. The outcome is Yes if any JPMorgan Chase representative mentions "Trading" during the upcoming earnings call, including the question-and-answer session. Otherwise, the outcome is No. Readers often mistakenly believe that references to trading in other contexts or by non-JPMorgan personnel count toward resolution.
• Basel 3 — the market puts it at 46%, with $1k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 31 Mar 2027. The market resolves to Yes if any Citigroup representative mentions Basel 3 during the upcoming earnings call or Q&A session. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake this for a prediction of financial results rather than a specific verbal reference.
• Consecutive — the market puts it at 86%, with $181 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 31 Mar 2027. The market resolves to Yes if any Wells Fargo representative says "Consecutive" during their next earnings call, including the question-and-answer session. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the deadline for the end of the calendar quarter instead of the specific date of the next earnings call.

Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.