Before 2027
Implied probability 9%+4
24-hour volume$313
Total volume$381k
Liquidity$381k
Resolves31 Dec 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 9% |
| 25 Sept, 18:22 UTC | 9% |
| 25 Sept, 17:13 UTC | 7% |
| 24 Sept, 16:24 UTC | 6% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if a Tesla Optimus or similar humanoid robot sells to the general public before December 31, 2026. The outcome is No if this sale does not happen by that date. Readers often mistake production milestones for actual sales to the public.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 9%
- No 91%