Cindy Hyde-Smith
Implied probability 90%+1
24-hour volume$23k
Total volume$219k
Liquidity$219k
Resolves3 Nov 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 90% |
| 20 Oct, 22:24 UTC | 90% |
| 20 Oct, 21:27 UTC | 90% |
| 20 Oct, 20:38 UTC | 89% |
| 20 Oct, 19:41 UTC | 90% |
| 20 Oct, 18:59 UTC | 88% |
| 20 Oct, 18:24 UTC | 89% |
| 18 Oct, 23:22 UTC | 88% |
| 18 Oct, 22:07 UTC | 87% |
| 18 Oct, 20:53 UTC | 86% |
| 18 Oct, 17:03 UTC | 87% |
| 18 Oct, 15:59 UTC | 88% |
| 17 Oct, 16:02 UTC | 90% |
| 17 Oct, 14:46 UTC | 88% |
| 17 Oct, 03:49 UTC | 89% |
| 17 Oct, 02:36 UTC | 90% |
| 17 Oct, 01:23 UTC | 89% |
| 17 Oct, 00:10 UTC | 91% |
| 16 Oct, 22:55 UTC | 91% |
| 16 Oct, 17:55 UTC | 88% |
| 16 Oct, 05:14 UTC | 89% |
| 16 Oct, 02:48 UTC | 91% |
| 15 Oct, 22:01 UTC | 90% |
| 15 Oct, 19:28 UTC | 91% |
| 15 Oct, 16:56 UTC | 90% |
| 15 Oct, 13:10 UTC | 91% |
| 15 Oct, 04:22 UTC | 90% |
| 15 Oct, 03:03 UTC | 92% |
| 14 Oct, 23:14 UTC | 92% |
| 14 Oct, 19:21 UTC | 92% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The outcome is Yes if a Republican takes the Senate seat starting in 2027, and No otherwise. Readers often mistake the timing of the election or the spending mentioned in the linked story for the actual resolution criteria. The only factor that matters is who holds the office when the term begins in 2027.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 90%
- No 10%