Democratic party
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 72% |
| 7 Nov, 02:53 UTC | 72% |
| 7 Nov, 01:21 UTC | 76% |
| 6 Nov, 22:49 UTC | 72% |
| 6 Nov, 19:54 UTC | 75% |
| 6 Nov, 16:13 UTC | 74% |
| 6 Nov, 04:27 UTC | 69% |
| 6 Nov, 02:36 UTC | 73% |
| 5 Nov, 19:14 UTC | 74% |
| 5 Nov, 15:05 UTC | 70% |
| 5 Nov, 13:07 UTC | 74% |
| 5 Nov, 10:24 UTC | 70% |
| 4 Nov, 23:40 UTC | 69% |
| 4 Nov, 23:11 UTC | 74% |
| 4 Nov, 19:19 UTC | 71% |
| 4 Nov, 17:42 UTC | 73% |
| 4 Nov, 15:36 UTC | 68% |
| 4 Nov, 15:21 UTC | 73% |
| 4 Nov, 11:54 UTC | 69% |
| 4 Nov, 07:20 UTC | 74% |
| 4 Nov, 06:00 UTC | 69% |
| 4 Nov, 05:31 UTC | 74% |
| 4 Nov, 00:58 UTC | 67% |
| 2 Nov, 23:32 UTC | 62% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
A Democrat must be sworn in as a U.S. Senator from Georgia for the term starting in 2029 for the outcome to be Yes. The current news about Ossoff and Jackson does not determine the result because their terms do not align with the specified 2029 start date. Readers often mistake the immediate winner of an election for the final resolver, but only the official swearing-in for the correct term counts.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 72%
- No 28%