Mirra Andreeva
The market favoured Yes at 62% a day out, but No won. How often it's right
Final probability 2%
24-hour volume$1k
Total volume$13k
Liquidity$13k
Resolved9 Nov 2026
Why it moved: −54 points at 09:07 UTC, after South China Morning Post: China Open champ Zheng Qinwen withdraws from Wuhan citing fatigue, shoulder injury — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 2% |
| 12 Oct, 09:07 UTC | 2% |
| 10 Oct, 13:31 UTC | 56% |
Outcomes
- Yes 2%
- No 98%