Golden State
The market favoured Yes at 75% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 95%
24-hour volume$5k
Total volume$11k
Liquidity$11k
Resolved26 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 95% |
| 3 Oct, 03:44 UTC | 95% |
| 3 Oct, 03:25 UTC | 76% |
| 3 Oct, 02:46 UTC | 47% |
| 3 Oct, 01:49 UTC | 82% |
| 3 Oct, 01:28 UTC | 79% |
| 3 Oct, 00:36 UTC | 77% |
| 2 Oct, 23:04 UTC | 76% |
| 2 Oct, 16:30 UTC | 77% |
| 2 Oct, 15:44 UTC | 76% |
| 2 Oct, 12:37 UTC | 74% |
| 1 Oct, 12:18 UTC | 70% |
What counts
The outcome is Yes if the Golden State Valkyries win their first-round playoff series against the Dallas Wings in the 2026 women's Pro Basketball Playoffs. The outcome is No if they do not win that series. Readers often mistake a single game victory for the required series win.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 95%
- No 5%