Jessica Shepard
The market favoured Yes at 88% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 99%
24-hour volume$590
Total volume$6k
Liquidity$6k
Resolved1 Dec 2027
Why it moved: +11 points at 15:35 UTC, after CBS Sports Headlines: 2026 WNBA awards winners: Wings' Jessica Shepard wins Most Improved Player in close race — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 99% |
| 1 Oct, 15:35 UTC | 99% |
| 30 Sept, 14:01 UTC | 88% |
Outcomes
- Yes 99%
- No 1%