Pope Leo XIV
Implied probability 6%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$5k
Liquidity$5k
Resolves1 Jan 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 6% |
| 22 Sept, 09:13 UTC | 6% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if Pope Leo XIV visits the White House between December 9, 2025, and January 1, 2027. The outcome is No if he does not make that visit within this specific timeframe. Readers often mistake the linked story about France for the relevant event, but only a White House visit counts toward resolution.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 6%
- No 94%