Elon Musk
Implied probability 100%+6
24-hour volume$7k
Total volume$18k
Liquidity$18k
Resolves1 Jan 2027
Why it moved: +7 points at 02:59 UTC, after CBS News Politics: Trump to headline "Golden Age" event with top officials, tech executives — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 100% |
| 25 Sept, 02:59 UTC | 100% |
| 24 Sept, 01:51 UTC | 93% |
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What counts
Elon Musk must visit the White House between December 9, 2025, and January 1, 2027, for the outcome to be Yes. The market resolves based on this specific visit window, not on other meetings or public appearances. Readers often mistake the linked news event as the trigger, but only a White House visit within the stated dates counts.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 100%
- No 0%