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Spain

Implied probability 32%−6
24-hour volume$192
Total volume$5k
Liquidity$5k
Resolves9 Aug 2027

Why it moved: −6 points at 17:16 UTC, after CBS Sports Headlines: USWNT roster: Ashley Sanchez joins 'triple espresso' ahead of October friendlies as World Cup looms — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.

How the odds moved · Spain
0%50%100%32%28 Sept, 16:56 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now32%
29 Sept, 17:16 UTC32%
28 Sept, 16:56 UTC38%

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What counts

The market resolves to Yes if Spain wins the 2027 FIFA Women's World Cup. It resolves to No if any other team wins the tournament. Readers often mistake the linked news story about player call-ups for the actual resolution criteria.

Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 32%
  • No 68%

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