France
Implied probability 12%+1
24-hour volume$16
Total volume$61k
Liquidity$61k
Resolves15 Jan 2031
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 12% |
| 24 Sept, 12:16 UTC | 12% |
| 23 Sept, 11:09 UTC | 11% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
France must win the 2030 FIFA Men's World Cup for the market to resolve to Yes. The outcome depends solely on the final winner of that specific tournament. Readers often mistake the linked story about Zidane and Mbappe as a factor in the resolution, but only the World Cup title matters.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 12%
- No 88%