Spain
Implied probability 11%−2
24-hour volume$336
Total volume$224k
Liquidity$224k
Resolves15 Jan 2031
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 11% |
| 25 Sept, 08:06 UTC | 11% |
| 24 Sept, 07:50 UTC | 13% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Spain wins the 2030 FIFA Men's World Cup. It resolves to No if any other team wins that tournament. Readers often mistake the linked Nations League match for the decisive event, but only the World Cup title matters.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 11%
- No 89%