Before Jan 1, 2028
Implied probability 3%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$3k
Liquidity$3k
Resolves1 Jan 2028
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 3% |
| 15 Oct, 06:09 UTC | 3% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if Kevin Warsh leaves his role as chairman of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors before January 1, 2028. Otherwise, the outcome is No. Readers often mistake the linked news story about an IMF event for a change in leadership, but only his actual departure from the chairmanship counts.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 3%
- No 97%