Mitch McConnell
Why it moved: −11 points at 09:22 UTC, after The New York Times: Abortion Pills, Vaccines and Food Safety: F.D.A. Nominee Heidi Overton Faces Senate Confirmation Hearing — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 37% |
| 24 Sept, 09:22 UTC | 37% |
| 23 Sept, 08:43 UTC | 48% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Mitch McConnell votes in favor of FDA nominee Heidi Overton before January 1, 2028. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the date of the confirmation hearing for the deadline, but only the actual vote counts.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 37%
- No 63%