At least 52%
Implied probability 45%+6
24-hour volume$2
Total volume$1k
Liquidity$1k
Resolves3 Nov 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 45% |
| 20 Oct, 21:56 UTC | 45% |
| 19 Oct, 18:07 UTC | 39% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Cindy Hyde-Smith receives at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 Mississippi Senate election. It resolves to No if she receives less than 52%. Readers often mistake the date of the election for the deadline, but the resolution depends on the certified final vote count.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 45%
- No 55%