At least 62%
Implied probability 51%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$3k
Liquidity$3k
Resolves3 Nov 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 51% |
| 7 Oct, 02:21 UTC | 51% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Josh Shapiro receives at least 62% of the popular vote in the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election. It resolves to No if he receives less than 62%. Readers often mistake the debate performance for the actual vote count, but only the certified official results determine the outcome.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 51%
- No 49%