At least 66%
Implied probability 54%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$5k
Liquidity$5k
Resolves3 Nov 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 54% |
| 6 Oct, 08:46 UTC | 54% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Wes Moore receives between 66% and 100% of the certified popular vote in the 2026 Maryland gubernatorial election. It resolves to No if his share falls below that threshold. Readers often mistake the date of the debate for the deadline, but the resolution depends solely on the final certified vote count.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 54%
- No 46%