At least 50%
Implied probability 75%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$1k
Liquidity$1k
Resolves3 Nov 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 75% |
| 4 Oct, 00:24 UTC | 75% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Byron Donalds receives at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election. It resolves to No if he receives less than 50%. Readers often mistake the deadline for the election day rather than the date the results are officially certified.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 75%
- No 25%