At least 68%
Implied probability 85%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$2k
Liquidity$2k
Resolves3 Nov 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 85% |
| 3 Nov, 03:06 UTC | 85% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if David Crowley receives at least 68% of the popular vote in Milwaukee County during the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election. The outcome depends on the certified percentage from official election results, not early returns or polls. Readers often mistake the deadline for the final certification date rather than the election day itself.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 85%
- No 15%