At least 88%
Implied probability 5%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$1k
Liquidity$1k
Resolves3 Nov 2027
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Kathy Hochul receives between 88% and 100% of the popular vote in the 2026 New York gubernatorial election. It resolves to No if she receives less than 88%. Readers often mistake the deadline for the election day itself, but the resolution depends on the final certified vote count.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 5%
- No 95%