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Nicole Kidman

Implied probability 12%+8
24-hour volume$1
Total volume$2k
Liquidity$2k
Resolves30 Jun 2027

Why it moved: +8 points at 01:54 UTC, after The Hollywood Reporter: Victoria’s Secret Fashion Show: See Red Carpet and Backstage Photos of Models, Megan Thee Stallion and Kobe Bryant’s Daughter — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.

How the odds moved · Nicole Kidman
0%50%100%12%18 Oct, 01:39 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now12%
19 Oct, 01:54 UTC12%
18 Oct, 01:39 UTC4%

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What counts

The market resolves to Yes if an announcement confirms Nicole Kidman appears on the cover of a US Vogue issue published in 2026. It resolves to No if no such announcement occurs by the end of that year. Readers often mistake the linked story about Victoria’s Secret for relevant coverage, but only Vogue covers count.

Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 12%
  • No 88%

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