Taylor Swift
Why it moved: −3 points at 09:36 UTC, after NME: Taylor Swift’s lawyers call ‘Life Of A Showgirl’ suit “meritless” at trial — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 49% |
| 24 Sept, 11:02 UTC | 49% |
| 24 Sept, 09:36 UTC | 47% |
| 23 Sept, 08:51 UTC | 50% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Taylor Swift wins Artist of the Year at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards. It resolves to No if she does not win that specific award. Readers often mistake the linked news story about her trademark lawsuit for the resolution criteria, but only the award result matters.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 49%
- No 51%