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Madison Square Garden

Implied probability 26%−7
24-hour volume$34
Total volume$1k
Liquidity$1k
Resolves8 Jan 2027

Why it moved: −7 points at 07:26 UTC, after Rolling Stone: Watch Drake Join Karol G for ‘One Dance’ Performance in Houston — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.

How the odds moved · Madison Square Garden
0%50%100%26%27 Sept, 07:06 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now26%
28 Sept, 07:26 UTC26%
27 Sept, 07:06 UTC33%

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What counts

The outcome is Yes if Drake performs at Madison Square Garden in 2026. The outcome is No if he does not perform there during that year. Readers often mistake any performance by Drake for a win, regardless of the venue or date.

Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 26%
  • No 74%

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