Ed Sheeran
Implied probability 12%−1
24-hour volume$1k
Total volume$59k
Liquidity$59k
Resolves1 Jan 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 12% |
| 2 Oct, 00:30 UTC | 12% |
| 2 Oct, 00:10 UTC | 6% |
| 1 Oct, 21:37 UTC | 8% |
| 1 Oct, 15:07 UTC | 16% |
| 1 Oct, 04:03 UTC | 13% |
| 30 Sept, 23:32 UTC | 12% |
| 30 Sept, 11:03 UTC | 9% |
| 29 Sept, 16:54 UTC | 12% |
| 29 Sept, 12:18 UTC | 13% |
| 29 Sept, 05:53 UTC | 12% |
| 28 Sept, 18:54 UTC | 6% |
| 28 Sept, 06:24 UTC | 8% |
| 28 Sept, 03:57 UTC | 6% |
| 28 Sept, 03:26 UTC | 9% |
| 27 Sept, 23:59 UTC | 8% |
| 27 Sept, 21:08 UTC | 9% |
| 27 Sept, 17:31 UTC | 8% |
| 27 Sept, 08:22 UTC | 9% |
| 27 Sept, 02:01 UTC | 7% |
| 26 Sept, 21:32 UTC | 5% |
| 26 Sept, 21:24 UTC | 6% |
| 26 Sept, 17:32 UTC | 4% |
| 26 Sept, 14:10 UTC | 5% |
| 26 Sept, 11:10 UTC | 4% |
| 26 Sept, 10:50 UTC | 3% |
| 26 Sept, 08:02 UTC | 8% |
| 26 Sept, 03:53 UTC | 9% |
| 26 Sept, 03:23 UTC | 8% |
| 26 Sept, 02:24 UTC | 8% |
| 25 Sept, 21:07 UTC | 9% |
| 25 Sept, 20:25 UTC | 7% |
| 25 Sept, 19:32 UTC | 11% |
| 25 Sept, 19:03 UTC | 6% |
| 25 Sept, 18:14 UTC | 8% |
| 25 Sept, 17:52 UTC | 8% |
| 25 Sept, 17:13 UTC | 49% |
| 25 Sept, 16:37 UTC | 11% |
| 25 Sept, 15:35 UTC | 8% |
| 25 Sept, 15:27 UTC | 14% |
| 25 Sept, 14:54 UTC | 35% |
| 25 Sept, 13:54 UTC | 71% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The outcome is Yes if Ed Sheeran performs at Gillette Stadium in 2026. The outcome is No if he does not perform there during that year. Readers often mistake this for a resolution based on his public statements or other concert appearances.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 12%
- No 88%