María Corina Machado
Implied probability 1%−2
24-hour volume$1k
Total volume$1.1M
Liquidity$1.1M
Resolves31 Dec 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 1% |
| 26 Sept, 23:22 UTC | 1% |
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if María Corina Machado officially holds the position of head of state of Venezuela on December 31, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the date of a rally or election for the specific deadline when she must hold office.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 1%
- No 99%