Below 6
Implied probability 0%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$15k
Liquidity$15k
Resolves3 Nov 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 0% |
| 17 Oct, 11:42 UTC | 0% |
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if the Democratic Party wins fewer than six seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in Virginia. It resolves to No if they win six or more seats. Readers often mistake the election date for the resolution deadline, but the outcome depends on the final certified seat count after the November 2026 election.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 0%
- No 100%