Before Oct 1, 2026
Implied probability 4%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$3k
Liquidity$3k
Resolves1 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 4% |
| 24 Sept, 04:17 UTC | 4% |
| 23 Sept, 04:04 UTC | 5% |
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
For the outcome to be "Yes," Donald Trump must announce a new policy decision that reduces, removes, or suspends an existing tariff on imports from Canada, with a specified effective date, after the market's issuance and before October 1, 2026. The resolution depends solely on this official announcement by Donald Trump, not on any other actions or statements.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 4%
- No 96%