Before Jan 1, 2027
Why it moved: −19 points at 15:50 UTC, after Inc.: Your CRM Was Built for a World Before AI. That’s Why Your Agents Keep Failing — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 10% |
| 1 Oct, 15:50 UTC | 10% |
| 29 Sept, 15:41 UTC | 29% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if the United States agrees to or announces a national AI regulator before January 1, 2027. Otherwise, the outcome is No. Readers often mistake the linked story about revenue for the resolution criteria.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 10%
- No 90%