IonQ
Why it moved: −4 points at 12:05 UTC, after Quartz: IonQ kauft das Cybersicherheitsunternehmen Elisity für bis zu 1,3 Milliarden US-Dollar. — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 8% |
| 12 Oct, 12:05 UTC | 8% |
| 11 Oct, 11:19 UTC | 12% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if the U.S. federal government acquires any ownership stake in IonQ before January 1, 2027. The outcome is No if no such stake occurs by that date. Readers often mistake the linked acquisition deal with Elisity for a government stake, but only federal government involvement counts.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 8%
- No 92%