Boeing
Why it moved: +6 points at 21:47 UTC, after Axios: Boeing nabs $20B contract for Navy's futuristic fighter — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 13% |
| 29 Sept, 21:47 UTC | 13% |
| 28 Sept, 20:56 UTC | 7% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The outcome is Yes if the U.S. federal government acquires any ownership stake in Boeing before January 1, 2027. Otherwise, the outcome is No. Readers often mistake the linked news story about a Pentagon contract for the required government ownership.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 13%
- No 87%