Anthropic
Implied probability 11%+1
24-hour volume$91
Total volume$98k
Liquidity$98k
Resolves1 Jan 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 11% |
| 25 Sept, 14:46 UTC | 11% |
| 24 Sept, 13:58 UTC | 10% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if any U.S. federal government entity acquires a stake in Anthropic before January 1, 2027. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the linked news story about Akamai for the relevant event, but only stakes taken by the U.S. federal government count.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 11%
- No 89%