Anduril
Implied probability 24%
24-hour volume$320
Total volume$177k
Liquidity$177k
Resolves1 Jan 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 24% |
| 28 Sept, 07:56 UTC | 24% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if any part of the U.S. federal government takes a stake in Anduril before January 1, 2027. The outcome is No if this event does not occur by that date. Readers often mistake the linked news story about Lux Capital for the official resolution source.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 24%
- No 76%