Paddy Pimblett
Implied probability 1%−1
24-hour volume$2k
Total volume$111k
Liquidity$111k
Resolves31 Dec 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 1% |
| 30 Sept, 17:59 UTC | 1% |
| 29 Sept, 17:05 UTC | 2% |
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Paddy Pimblett holds the UFC Lightweight Title on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the date of the linked news story for the resolution deadline.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 1%
- No 99%