France wins by more than 1.5 goals
Why it moved: −4 points at 19:18 UTC, after The Guardian Sport: Belgium v France, Northern Ireland v Hungary and more: Nations League – live — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 26% |
| 28 Sept, 19:18 UTC | 25% |
| 26 Sept, 23:27 UTC | 29% |
Your call. How does this end?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if France wins the scheduled UEFA Nations League match against Belgium by a margin of two goals or more after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. The outcome depends solely on the final score at the end of regular time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 26%
- No 74%