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France

Implied probability 63%−18
24-hour volume$5k
Total volume$5k
Liquidity$5k
Resolves7 Oct 2026

Why it moved: −18 points at 05:53 UTC, after France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlines: Nations League: Promising France defeat Belgium thanks to Olise — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.

How the odds moved · France
0%50%100%63%28 Sept, 05:26 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now63%
29 Sept, 05:53 UTC63%
28 Sept, 05:26 UTC81%

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Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls

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What counts

France wins if it scores more goals than Belgium after 90 minutes of play and added stoppage time. The result excludes any extra time or penalty shootouts that might follow. Readers often mistake the final score after penalties for the winning margin, but only the score at the end of regulation time counts.

Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 63%
  • No 37%

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