France
Why it moved: −19 points at 05:53 UTC, after France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlines: Nations League: Promising France defeat Belgium thanks to Olise — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 68% |
| 29 Sept, 07:48 UTC | 68% |
| 29 Sept, 06:54 UTC | 66% |
| 29 Sept, 06:12 UTC | 76% |
| 29 Sept, 05:53 UTC | 65% |
| 28 Sept, 05:28 UTC | 84% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if France wins the UEFA Nations League match against Italy after 90 minutes of play, including stoppage time. It resolves to No if France does not win within that timeframe. Readers often mistakenly believe that extra time or penalty shootouts count toward the result.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 68%
- No 32%