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Norway

Implied probability 61%+2
24-hour volume$7k
Total volume$15k
Liquidity$15k
Resolves3 Oct 2026

Why it moved: +6 points at 20:43 UTC, after The Guardian Sport: Denmark dominate Wales in Nations League as Isaksen adds finishing touch — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.

How the odds moved · Norway
0%50%100%61%26 Sept, 19:49 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now61%
27 Sept, 20:43 UTC61%
26 Sept, 19:49 UTC55%

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Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls

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What counts

The market resolves to Yes if Norway wins the Wales vs Norway UEFA Nations League match after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. It resolves to No if the game ends in a draw or if Wales wins. Readers often mistake the final result including extra time or penalties for the deciding factor, but only the score at the end of regular play counts.

Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 61%
  • No 39%

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