Netherlands
Why it moved: −16 points at 22:24 UTC, after The Guardian Sport: Nations League: Greece stun Klopp’s Germany, Netherlands sink Serbia but Gakpo hurt — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 47% |
| 27 Sept, 22:47 UTC | 47% |
| 27 Sept, 22:24 UTC | 47% |
| 26 Sept, 22:13 UTC | 63% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if the Netherlands wins the UEFA Nations League match against Greece after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. The result depends solely on the score at the end of regular play, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. Readers often mistake the final tournament winner for the resolution criteria, but only this specific game's 90-minute outcome matters.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 47%
- No 53%