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Netherlands

Implied probability 1%−46
24-hour volume$3.4M
Total volume$3.5M
Liquidity$3.5M
Resolves3 Oct 2026

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What counts

The market resolves to Yes if the Netherlands wins the UEFA Nations League match against Greece after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. The result depends solely on the score at the end of regular play, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. Readers often mistake the final tournament winner for the resolution criteria, but only this specific game's 90-minute outcome matters.

Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 1%
  • No 99%

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