Italy
Implied probability 7%+1
24-hour volume$56
Total volume$3k
Liquidity$3k
Resolves15 Aug 2028
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 7% |
| 25 Sept, 19:39 UTC | 7% |
| 24 Sept, 18:44 UTC | 6% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Italy wins the 2028 UEFA European Championship. It resolves to No if any other team wins that tournament. Readers often mistake the linked Nations League match for the decisive event, but only the Euro 2028 title matters.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 7%
- No 93%