Recep Tayyip Erdoğan
Implied probability 50%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$12k
Liquidity$12k
Resolves7 May 2030
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 50% |
| 27 Sept, 12:13 UTC | 50% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Recep Tayyip Erdoğan wins the next Turkish presidential election. It resolves to No if he does not win that specific election. Readers often mistake the linked story about comedian Deniz Goktas for a factor in the outcome, but only the official election result matters.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 50%
- No 50%