Before Jan 1, 2027
Implied probability 58%+4
24-hour volume$2k
Total volume$8k
Liquidity$8k
Resolves1 Jan 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 58% |
| 20 Oct, 13:37 UTC | 58% |
| 20 Oct, 13:29 UTC | 54% |
| 20 Oct, 09:19 UTC | 55% |
| 20 Oct, 07:29 UTC | 54% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Donald Trump, Xi Jinping, and Vladimir Putin meet in person together at a trilateral gathering after this question is issued and before January 1, 2027. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the linked news story about US-China tensions for the required event, but only a direct meeting involving all three leaders counts.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 58%
- No 42%