Minnesota
Why it moved: +28 points at 22:03 UTC, after Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera: Trump administration files complaint against judges over media comments — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 65% |
| 30 Sept, 22:03 UTC | 65% |
| 29 Sept, 20:51 UTC | 37% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Donald Trump physically travels to and is present within Minnesota's geographic boundaries after the question issuance and before January 1, 2027. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the linked news story about voter fraud indictments as the resolution criteria, but only Trump's physical presence matters.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 65%
- No 35%