Iowa
Implied probability 90%+1
24-hour volume$546
Total volume$4k
Liquidity$4k
Resolves1 Jan 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 90% |
| 28 Sept, 19:18 UTC | 90% |
| 27 Sept, 13:38 UTC | 89% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if Donald Trump physically enters Iowa between now and January 1, 2027. The outcome is No if he does not visit the state within that timeframe. Readers often mistake the news headline about a steel plant for the required event, but only his physical presence counts.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 90%
- No 10%