India / Indian
Why it moved: +10 points at 22:08 UTC, after businessinsider.com: Zimbabwe’s grievance with the world’s most powerful nation may soon be addressed as Trump sends his team to the Southern African country — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 99% |
| 5 Oct, 22:08 UTC | 99% |
| 4 Oct, 21:20 UTC | 89% |
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The outcome is Yes if Donald Trump states India or Indian after October 1, 2026, and before November 1, 2026. The outcome is No if he does not make that statement within this specific timeframe. Readers often mistake the deadline for the date of the linked news story rather than the future window specified in the rules.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 99%
- No 1%