Colombia / Colombian
The market favoured Yes at 99% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 99%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$1k
Liquidity$1k
Resolved14 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 99% |
| 13 Oct, 07:48 UTC | 99% |
| 12 Oct, 06:50 UTC | 68% |
What counts
The outcome is Yes if Donald Trump states "Colombia" or "Colombian" (including plural or possessive forms) between October 1, 2026 at 10:00am ET and November 1, 2026 at 12:00am ET. Otherwise, the outcome is No. Readers often mistake the source of truth, assuming any mention in news reports counts rather than only direct statements by Trump.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 99%
- No 1%