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Qualcomm / QCOM

Implied probability 54%−8
24-hour volume$29
Total volume$1k
Liquidity$1k
Resolves1 Oct 2026

Why it moved: −13 points at 12:14 UTC, after The Verge: Xiaomi’s new 18 Pro phones improve on Samsung’s privacy display — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.

How the odds moved · Qualcomm / QCOM
0%50%100%54%22 Sept, 12:00 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now54%
23 Sept, 12:14 UTC54%
22 Sept, 12:00 UTC67%

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What counts

The outcome is Yes if Donald Trump explicitly mentions Qualcomm or QCOM in any form before October 1, 2026, at 12:00 am ET. Otherwise, the outcome is No. Readers often mistake the linked news story for a qualifying statement, but only direct quotes from Trump count toward resolution.

Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 54%
  • No 46%

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