SpaceX / SPCX
Implied probability 99%
24-hour volume$24
Total volume$14k
Liquidity$14k
Resolves1 Nov 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 99% |
| 8 Oct, 18:46 UTC | 99% |
| 7 Oct, 18:35 UTC | 49% |
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The outcome is Yes if Donald Trump explicitly mentions SpaceX or SPCX in a public statement between October 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET and November 1, 2026, at 12:00 AM ET. The outcome is No if he does not make such a statement within this specific timeframe. Readers often mistake the source of truth, assuming any news report about SpaceX counts, but only direct statements by Trump resolve the market.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 99%
- No 1%